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Seeing through the Bear Stearns conspiracy theories

I try not to do posts solely for the purpose of linking to someone else's great work but this item fro DealBreaker is probably the funniest thing I've read since Bear Stearns' insistence that its liquidity was fine: an article in the latest issue of Vanity Fair cites unnamed sources stating that a few well-known hedge funds plotted the company's demise -- and then laughed about it over a celebratory breakfast.

Bess Levin rips into the conspiracy theories with the post Who Killed Bear Stearns And Then Laughed About It At Denny's? We're Gonna Go With NO ONE:
Let's just say they did spread the rumors, which I don't believe they did (and, as an aside: if a company can be brought down by the corporate equivalent of 7th grade girls passing notes in class, perhaps it doesn't deserve to existence anyway). There is no way in hell this meal took place. Ken Griffin and Steve Cohen are not stupid enough to go chest bump over egg McMuffins with the rotting corpse of Bear Stearns at their table (that kind of genius is -- or was -- reserved for the upper echelons of BSC management).

Exactly.

Serious Money: Five stable stocks for troubled times

Six months of 2008 are now behind us and the stock market has not been a friendly place to most investors. Stability that was once found in household names that were industry giants is gone, and they have now been brought to their knees.

Many of them were the stocks we might have looked to in the past for stability, so you can be sure I put forward my five candidates with a little trepidation, but forward I go anyway. First a little review is in order.

Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) dropped from around $53 per share last year to around $30 in January and we can buy it today for around $17. Even at that price Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) has downgraded it to a sell and thinks there is more bad news to come. Citigroup was the largest bank in the world. Not any more.

General Motors (NYSE: GM) was the largest car maker in the world. That was before the stock tumbled from $43 to its current $11 range. A crushing blow to long time investors hoping that someone in the company could stop the ship from sinking.

Continue reading Serious Money: Five stable stocks for troubled times

Newspaper wrap-up: When a troubled home loan is not

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • Long Island, NY's Astoria Financial Corp (NYSE: AF) has found a novel way to reduce the number of its nonperforming loans by changing its internal policy on when mortgages are classified on its books as troubled, the Wall Street Journal reported. By counting home loans as non performing when the borrower misses at least three payments, not two, Astoria reduced its non-performers to $69M from $106M in three months.
  • The Wall Street Journal also reported that the indictments of Matthew Tannin and Ralph Cioffi, two former Bear Stearns hedge-fund managers, are expected to cite a personal e-mail suggesting the funds were "toast," four days before they told investors they had little to worry about. JP Morgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM) has said it will cover the legal costs of the fund managers.
  • Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE: HPQ) is set to reorganize its printer unit. The Wall Street Journal said that the unit's five business units will be cut down to three to become more efficient at adapting to a marketplace in which consumers are relying less on printing.
  • According to people close to the situation, the Financial Times reported that Anheuser-Busch Companies Inc's (NYSE: BUD) board of directors is planning to meet this week to discuss the $46B bid from rival brewer InBev.

A Bear Stearns graphic novel

Graphic novels are generally targeted toward a market the could best be described as anime freaks: junior high and high school kids who shop at Hot Topic, listen to bad music, and read graphic novels.

For reasons that aren't immediately clear, Portfolio decided to make the collapse of Bear Stearns Co. Inc. (NYSE: BSC) into a graphic novel, focusing on the days leading up to the fire-sale to the Fed-back JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM). It's a neat idea but, by focusing exclusively on the company's last days, the comic portrays Bear's collapse as a run on the bank caused by malicious and unfounded rumors. The reality is that Bear made huge, risky bets on bad securities, and collapsed because of mismanagement. A "run on the bank" may have had something to do with it, but that's always the case: companies don't go under until people stop giving them money.

But in a financial press with a lot of very similar content, we should at least give Portfolio props for doing something a little different.

Why did Lehman retain CEO Fuld while AIG fired Sullivan?

Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH) Chief Executive Richard Fuld continues to keep his job even though shares of the New York-bank have slumped more than 60% this year. Meanwhile, American International Group Inc. (NYSE: AIG), whose shares are down 42%, ousted CEO Martin Sullivan because of the continued poor performance of the world's largest insurer.

Why didn't Fuld follow Sullivan onto the unemployment line, albeit the cushy one for failed CEOs? It makes no sense.

Last week, Fuld shocked investors by pre-announcing that Lehman lost $2.8 billion, or $5.14 per share, results that were officially confirmed today. In the earnings release, Fuld proclaimed the results as "unacceptable" and vowed to "take the necessary steps to restore the credibility of our great franchise." Well, at least he says that's what he wants to do. He dismissed Lehman President Joseph Gregory and Chief Financial Officer Erin Callan last week. On the conference call, Fuld even took responsibility for the loss and investors cheered this act of contrition, sending shares of Lehman up.

The euphoria is not going to last. I am not sure why Wall Street believes that Fuld can extricate Lehman from the financial quagmire that occurred on his watch. They certainly did not give Merrill Lynch & Co.'s (NYSE: MER) Stan O'Neal and Bear Stearns & Co.'s (NYSE: BSC) James Cayne or Citigroup Inc.'s (NYSE: C) the benefit of the doubt.

Continue reading Why did Lehman retain CEO Fuld while AIG fired Sullivan?

Answers I Really Wanna Know...

Minyanville's top dog, Todd Harrison, dares to ask in public what Wall Street types quietly consider in private. For more insight and ideas, visit www.Minyanville.com.

  • If Lehman (LEH) isn't the second coming of Bear Stearns, won't "sell the rumor, buy the news" come into play?

  • Why can't I shake the sense that a serious downside dislocation is lurking in the wings this summer?

  • Given the massive two-sided directional potential, have you defined your risk (both ways) in kind?

  • After all, doesn't setting stops remove emotion?

  • Another day, another dime (10%) for WaMu (WM) the killer whale?

  • What does it say that the New York Stock Exchange internals are still flat to the share?

  • The kid' from Oakland - what did you expect?

  • How could it possibly take me this long to see Charlie Wilson's War?

    R.P.

Companies that vanished: Bear Stearns -- a lesson learned?

This post is part of a series on some of the most memorable companies that have disappeared.

Going, going, gone!

No more Bear Stearns. What a shame. It did not have to be, but alas -- bad management, greed, and too much negativity on Wall Street made it unsustainable when sustainability is the word of the day. It is, or should I say was, one of the foremost investment banks on Wall Street for many decades.

JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) completed it acquisition of Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) on May 30, 2008. As a result, Fitch Ratings has upgraded the ratings of BSC and removed them from Rating Watch Positive, where they were originally placed on March 17. As the direct and sole owner of BSC, JPM has assumed the capital structure of BSC.

Bear Stearns had been one of the top investment banking, clearing, and brokerage firms in the United States, serving major corporations, institutions, governments, and high net worth individuals. Through several subsidiaries, it provided asset management, lending, and merger and acquisition advisory services. It's been a leading market-maker for NYSE-listed securities (through Bear Wagner Specialists), as well as for OTC shares, corporate and government bonds, and derivative products.

It was these derivative loan instruments that did them in. Bear Stearns, a company that for decades was relied upon to help its customers assess risk, fell short when it came to managing its own. Management was not watching very closely, and if they were, they did not understand what they were seeing. (See Serious Money: The page on Buffett Part V: Company Management.)

Continue reading Companies that vanished: Bear Stearns -- a lesson learned?

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Why own Lehman?

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says lots of names out there have genuine earnings power.

At an investment symposium I attended last night, someone asked me whether I thought Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) (Cramer's Take) was going under. I said, no, no I didn't think so. It's got a great franchise with a good cash position, reduced leverage, much better management than Bear and a buyback that's kicking in that wouldn't if things were as bad as the bears make it out to be.

So, the individual asked, would I buy the stock? I said, "Why the heck would I do that? To catch a 2- or 3-point rally? There is no earnings power at Lehman."

I explained that some stocks are neither longs nor shorts -- that, to me, is Lehman. There's no reason to short it, because I don't think it is going under but many are betting that way, and there is no reason to go long it, because the place is set up for a period of big fees from fixed-income products, from structured products, but clients have at last figured out that they will lose their jobs if they keep buying this nonsense.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Why own Lehman?

Bear Stearns -- Poof... and it was gone

It took about ten minutes in a special meeting of the shareholders to approve the sale, acquisition or bail-out of Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) to JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM). You can call it what you will, but the illustrious company is coming to a dismal end.

There was not much to say at Thursdays short meeting, but in brief remarks to attendees, James Cayne, who was Bear's chief executive when its problems took hold last summer, said "I have no anger, only regret," The New York Times reported. "14,000 families were affected. I personally apologize. I feel an enormous amount of pain and management feels an enormous amount of pain."

Pain and billions of dollars, to say the least. When the Federal Reserve, led by Ben Bernanke, arranged this shot-gun wedding, JPM was offering $2 per share for BSC and then upped the price to $10, prompting me to write JPMorgan's $10 offer for Bear still too cheap!. In any event that was the price and that's where it stands. Ten bucks for a company that was trading at $150 in the not too distant past. The last sixty bucks evaporated in one week!

It did not have to be this way, but alas -- bad management, greed and too much negativity on Wall Street made it unsustainable when sustainability is the word of the day. I have been doing a series of stories on Warren Buffett's ideas on investment and this one comes to mind: Serious Money: The page on Buffett Part V: Company Management.

So BSC will be no more and JPM will continue to prosper having far better management. Perhaps BSC should post signs to that effect in its offices, just like an unsuccessful business might after a change: UNDER NEW MANAGEMENT!

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the design and research principal for an architecture and planning firm. He writes Chasing Value and Serious Money columns. Disclosure: I am a shareholder in BSC.

$8 Gas, tax rebate questions answered & ATM identity theft soars - Today in Money 5/30

In the News:

$8-a-Gallon Gas
Americans should be celebrating rather than shuddering over the arrival of $4-a-gallon gasoline. We lived on cheap gas too long, failed to innovate and now face the consequences of competing for a finite resource amid fast-expanding global demand. Here are eight reasons higher prices will do us a world of good.
Eight reasons you'll rejoice when we hit $8-a-gallon gasoline - MarketWatch

Answers to All Your Tax Rebate Questions
Tell 200 million taxpayers that they'll be getting a share of $130 billion in tax rebates and you're sure to bring smiles to a lot of faces. You'll also prompt many quizzical looks ... and an avalanche of questions. Now one month after the rebates started going out there are still many questions people have. Kiplinger answers over 20 of the most common questions.
Answers to ALL Your Tax Rebate Questions - Kiplinger.com

Continue reading $8 Gas, tax rebate questions answered & ATM identity theft soars - Today in Money 5/30

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) rises on Bear Stearns' buyout approval

JPM logoJPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) shares are trading higher on news that shareholders of Bear Stearns Cos. (NYSE: BSC) have approved JPM's $2.2 billion buyout of the investment bank. JPM will buy BSC for about $10 a share. The deal is expected to become official tomorrow. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on JPM.

After hitting a one-year high of $52.31 last May, the stock hit a one-year low of $36.01 in March. JPM opened this morning at $42.69. So far today the stock has hit a low of $42.29 and a high of $44.06. As of 12:15, JPM is trading at $43.79, up 0.93 (2.2%). The chart for JPM looks bullish and deteriorating, while S&P gives the stock its highest 5 Stars (out of 5) strong buy rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bull-put credit spread below the $37.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 11.1% return in just seven weeks as long as JPM is above $37.50 at July expiration. JPMorgan would have to fall by more than 14% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

JPM hasn't been below $7.50 at all in the past year except for a short time in March and has shown support around $42 recently. This trade could be risky if the financial sector suffers some more in the coming months, but even if that happens, that position could be protected by support the stock might find just above $40, where it bottomed out twice in the past two months.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in JPM or BSC.

Small stocks with big potential, Best cities to live, work and play & most polluted cities - Today in Money 5/29

In the News:

Small Stocks, Big Potential
Little companies get less attention from investors, but they can often provide handsome returns. Here are 21 top picks in the group from investing pros.
Small Wonders - BusinessWeek

Hot Growth, Against All Odds
Here is BusinessWeek's list of fastest-growing small companies. Can they sustain their stratospheric growth? Topping the list is Hansen Natural, LuluLemon Athletica and Graham. Other hot growth companies include J.Crew, Morningstar, Nutrisystem, Quicksilver, Gymboree, Blue Nile, Strayer Education and Under Armour.
Hot Growth, Against the Odds - BusinessWeek List: Hot Growth Companies

Continue reading Small stocks with big potential, Best cities to live, work and play & most polluted cities - Today in Money 5/29

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Bad outweighs the good in AIG

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says some segments are doing well, but the losses in Britain show how bad it is.

If you think the disclosure is bad for these financial insurers here, it is every bit as poor over there in the U.K., where we just learned that housing prices dropped the most ever on record.

Most of the major monoline insurers, and of course AIG (NYSE: AIG) (Cramer's Take), have exposure to Britain in ways that we are all too familiar with over here. The only difference is that I believe the trajectory was considered far more certain over there than here. AIG in particular bragged about this business in December, to show their diversification away from the U.S. Kind of like how Bear (NYSE: BSC) (Cramer's Take) bragged that by putting a lot of different mortgages together from Florida and California and the rest of the country and varying their ratings you have created a wondrous, diversified instrument called a CDO.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Bad outweighs the good in AIG

Before the bell: BSC, UAUA, YHOO, AAPL, TIVO, PFE

Before the bell: Futures mixed ahead of GDP; after COST, SHLD reporting

Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) shareholders are due to approve the buyout by JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) today, marking what many feel as an end of an era as the 85-year-old company collapsed due to the subprime mortgage crisis.

The chief executives of UAL Corp. (NASDAQ: UAUA) United Airlines and US Airways (NYSE: LCC) are set to meet today to discuss a possible deal despite concerns that threaten the deal, according to two people briefed on the discussions, the AP reported. Stocks of both airlines are up over 2% in premarket trading.

In other deal news, Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO) CEO Jerry Yang said that Yahoo is not a company under siege and that he is still waiting for a clearer proposal from Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) about a possible partnership between the two firms. He said said that Yahoo "did not walk away from the proposal - Microsoft did. We were willing to do the deal on the right terms."

Continue reading Before the bell: BSC, UAUA, YHOO, AAPL, TIVO, PFE

Before the bell: XOM, UPS, GS, BUD, DELL, AAPL, AEO ...

Before the bell: Futures higher as oil drops further

Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) is set to face disgruntled shareholders, including members of the Rockefeller family at its annual meeting today. They want to split split Exxon's chairman and chief executive positions. Other proposals include seven about the company's environmental policies.

The Wall Street Journal reported that Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) plans to hand over documents to the Securities and Exchange Commission showing that several Wall Street firms, including Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Citadel Investment Group and Paulson & Co., cut their exposure to Bear in the weeks leading up to its collapse.

United Parcel Service Inc (NYSE: UPS) shares rose in Europe after Merrill Lynch upgraded the company's stock from Neutral to Buy.

Continue reading Before the bell: XOM, UPS, GS, BUD, DELL, AAPL, AEO ...

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Last updated: July 06, 2008: 06:10 AM

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